SEC Resurgence
I down the SEC more than most people because I usually think it's a very overrated league, but they look stronger this year. The West has several legitimate teams. We've already covered Alabama, but it looks like LSU is also back to it's winning ways with the upset over Auburn this past week. They finally have a decent quarterback who doesn't make major mistakes and combined with those athletes, its looking like a big year for Coach O. Despite the loss, Auburn is still an extremely talented team who will be there in the end. Mississippi State also looks special, with an impressive road win against Kansas State already on their schedule. Texas A&M and new head coach Jimbo Fisher ALMOST pulled the upset when Clemson came to town but fell short but if they did one thing, it was putting the world on notice that quarterback Kellen Mond has arrived. They'll get another test this week when they play Alabama. Despite the loss, Ole Miss is still very talented......on offense. That defense could not stop my hometown's high school team. Arkansas is still terrible, and even became a nationwide joke when they not only lost by almost 30 to North Texas, but got faked on a punt return that quickly went viral.The SEC East isn't as strong as the West, but man does Georgia look good or what? I honestly think Georgia will beat everyone they play by 3 touchdowns. They have talent at every position. And not just one guy, they go deep. South Carolina is a respectable improving team, along with Missouri, however this division will never truly be back until Florida/and or Tennessee can return to national prominence and sadly I don't see that happening anytime soon. A lack of stability at both places have hurt recruiting which have shown clear results on the field. The legit teams in this conference as a whole however make up for what the East lacks. It will be interesting to watch how it all plays out.
Coaching Mistakes?
I get it, I do. It's early. Not a ton to go off of, but a sample size is just that so that's all I can judge and so far I see a several newly hired coaches who need to turn things around in a hurry. I'll just focus on 2 for now.
Chad Morris - Arkansas Razorbacks
Look, I was against this hire before. I understand he had some success as a coordinator at Clemson but who doesn't have success as a coordinator at Clemson. That doesn't mean they will be an effective SEC head coach. Following a win against Eastern Illinois, Arkansas has lost to Colorado State and then were blown out and embarrassed against North Texas. I understand when Bret Beliema left, he didn't leave a ton of talent on the roster but the team doesn't even seem to compete at times. Morris has to do more. He has to play the right guys, and motivate his team to win because right now there's players on the sidelines too often who need to be on the field and anyone can see that. It is very possible that the Razorbacks don't win another game this season, and despite the patience with Bielema, I can see this being a 1 and done if things don't change.
Chip Kelly - UCLA
Another hire I was against. When Chip Kelly was considering comebacks, I was sure he would choose Florida. Big money, a program that will spend, and elite speed and athleticism. All things that Chip has won with before. I was stunned when he chose UCLA. They didn't have any of the things he has won with in the past and it's shown these first few games. Sitting at 0-3 and having none of those games be close, I'm sure he's regretting that decision. People may have expected a tough start but he didn't get a 24 million dollar contract for a tough start. He got that money to turn things around and turn things around now. He wasn't a great NFL coach, and maybe that's shaken his confidence but he has enough to have his players be competitive on the field. After an offseason and a few games he still doesn't look like he knows who he wants to play. A man who coached with such confidence in the past and now you see him and wonder if he may have just lost it...
Week 4 Picks
Texas Tech VS (15) Oklahoma State
Texas Tech impressed me last week beating/outscoring Houston. Both quarterbacks threw for 5 touchdowns and if you love offense, this was your kind of game. Texas Tech has always been able to score but so has Oklahoma State. Neither team plays great defense so expect another shootout. These teams have combined to score no less than 75 points over the last 6 years. It's going to be about who gets the stops when they're need most. I think Oklahoma State will be that team but I wouldn't count out Red Raiders head coach Kliff Kingsbury as he could use another big win.
Oklahoma State 51
Texas Tech 45
(17) TCU VS Texas
Texas bounced back from the seasoning loss against Maryland and have now won 2 straight including a DOMINATING win over USC. They will likely go into this game against TCU on a high but TCU is a much better team than USC was and will likely cause Texas way more problems. 3 or 4 plays can win or lose you a game and that's what happened to TCU against Ohio State last week. Take away about 3 HUGE plays/mistakes and TCU wins that game. Coming off a loss into a game they need I expect them to bounce back strong. This game is about more than the game on the field, but also about recruiting the state of Texas.
TCU 38
Texas 20
(18) Wisconsin VS Iowa
Iowa is known for it's upsets and I can see one coming this week at home against Wisconsin. The Badgers come in off a loss to BYU and can't afford to start from behind in the BIG 10. Iowa has an elite defense that will no doubt be amped for this big home game. I expect a defensive battle with one team making some plays late to win it.
Iowa 23
Wisconsin 20
(22) Texas A&M VS (1) Alabama
Another chance for the Aggies to prove themselves. After almost knocking off Clemson, Jimbo Fisher travel to face the Tide and Nick Saban who Jimbo coached under Saban years ago. Clemson has an elite defense and Texas A&M was able to move the ball and make plays so they will likely come in thinking they can do the same this week. Not so fast...Alabama's defense is different. What they lack in talent (if anything), they make up for in a great scheme that's tough for even the best offensive coordinators to solve. The key to this game to me will be who can run the ball best. Both teams have guys who are capable but also quarterbacks who can make plays. Whichever teams gets to that 100 rushing yard mark first will be my pick to win.
Alabama 37
Texas A&M 17
(20) Oregon VS (7) Stanford
The primetime game Saturday night is one I am excited for in a big way. I think some fans don't know how special Oregon quarterback Justin Herbert is. He's a big strong armed guy who can make every throw there is. He faces an elite defense with a shot to pick up his most impressive win of his career. He was injured most of last year and the team suffered tremendously without him. To win this game against a tough Stanford team however, Oregon will need to be explosive in the run game and make big plays on defense. Bryce Brown, who came into the year as a Heisman contender has started slow and will clearly be looking for a breakout game. The team that wins the turnover battle will win this game and I'm thinking Oregon's athleticism on the back end of that defense will do just that.
Oregon 31
Stanford 23
Another big weekend of college football ahead and I can't wait to sit back and watch it all unfold. Wouldn't it be crazy if Alabama lost?? Not gonna happen but I always look for those big and random upsets to happen! Oh, by the way, due to popular demand I will also be getting back to writing about all sports..NFL, and NBA that is. I don't know a thing about those other ones. Coming soon, and I will do best to deliver A-1 content as usual!