Wednesday, October 12, 2016

WEEK 6 REVIEW

Another great week of college football in the books! The teams that are going to the playoffs are starting to reveal themselves week by week and this one was no different. The luck for an SEC contender finally ran out and a BIG 10 team continues to roll teams. Halfway through the year and the shape of conferences is finally starting to appear. 

Conference Check In

ACC

This looks to be Clemson’s league to lose. If they get past a road game against Tallahassee and an ACC Championship game against maybe a Miami team, they are guaranteed to again return to the playoff. Miami had a PAT blocked against Florida State which gave them a 1 point loss. Miami however, still controls its’ own destiny in the ACC Coastal. Louisville’s playoff hopes took a hit when Houston lost to Navy Saturday which took away the Cardinals last chance at a premiere game. So Clemson is definitely the favorite, with Miami right behind.

BIG 10

Can November 26th get here faster? That game between Ohio State and Michigan will likely decide who goes to the playoff this year. My early thought is Ohio State will win, and it won’t be close. But until then we can keep watching Michigan destroy the “little sisters of the poor”. Ohio State does face a slight challenge when they travel to Wisconsin this weekend but as much as I respect Wisconsin’s defense, I don’t think they have enough offense to win this game.

BIG 12

I don’t think there’s a team in this league who will make it to the playoff. I see Oklahoma beating Baylor and eliminating them. I also think the committee wants to happen as well. All of the embarrassment that the Baylor program has brought to college football, they simply don’t deserve it. Texas gave Oklahoma a fight last week, but still fell short. It’s definitely not a good look for Charlie Strong to fire his defensive coordinator, say that he’s going to take over on defense and the following week, give up almost 700 yards. His days are surely numbered.

PAC 12

I still think this is the deepest conference in college football. Washington has clearly separated themselves from the rest as they continue to destroy teams. If they run the table, you can lock them into the playoff. Oregon and Stanford have some serious issues right now and you wonder how that will affect the rest of their season. USC is looking much better as well since the quarterback change, but I still expect them to fall this weekend.

SEC

Alabama is dominant as usual and is clearly the class of the SEC, BUT the race to win the SEC West is not over. Texas A&M has looked great for much of the year and have a showdown with Alabama next week in a HUGE game! Ole Miss also has an outside shot at the title Alabama loses twice, and they beat Texas A&M. Much easier said than done of course but anything’s possible. Tennessee’s luck finally ran out against Texas A&M, but I came away impressed that they could withstand all those turnovers and still get the game into overtime. I don’t think they have a chance against Alabama this weekend, but they definitely earned a little more of my respect.
As you can see, there is a lot of the season left, but the outcomes are already starting to appear. It seems like a week doesn’t go by without upsets and games that go down to the wire. Basically we really get a 4 month double elimination playoff in college football and I am grateful! Some great players have started to break away from the rest as well.


Early Heisman Contenders

1A. Lamar Jackson -  I had to put him on here twice! The numbers he is doing this year and being so exciting make him clearly the favorite. He is single-handedly putting Louisville football back on the map.

1B. Lamar Jackson – See Above

2. JT Barrett – Best player on maybe the best team in the country. He has improved with both his running and passing this year and I don’t see anyone slowing him down.

3. Desean Watson – After a slow start, the favorite coming into the year has stepped his game up in a major way. He’s thrown for 9 touchdowns in his last 2 games and I expect that to continue going forward. The only way he can catch Jackson is if he has a game for the ages against Florida State in Tallahassee.

4. Patrick Mahommes – I know Texas Tech’s defense is terrible but Patrick Mahommes skill on offense almost makes you forget about that. People make a lot of noise about Lamar Jackson’s numbers but Mahommes has 27 touchdowns this year in 5 games. He is bigtime, and just as exciting.

5. Jabrill Peppers – He won’t win it because he’s primarily a defensive player but he may get some votes. Dominant on defense and also looks great when he gets snaps on offensive and special teams. Probably a top 10 pick in next year’s draft.

6. Jake Browning -  Last but not least, he’s lead Washington to a top 5 ranking and looked great so far this year. He rarely makes a bad decision and only gets better.

Pick 6

We went 4/5 last week after the LSU-Florida game was canceled, so hopefully we can keep the good mojo going!

West Virginia (20) VS Texas Tech
Patrick Mahommes has been phenomenal this year and as mentioned before, if he had a defense he would be getting a lot more love nationwide. People probably don’t even know that West Virginia undefeated but they are! They have a solid team on both sides of the all playmakers who can change the game. I’m going with the home team in this one.

Texas Tech 38
West Virginia 32

Alabama (1) VS Tennessee (9)
Alabama is dominant and I expect that to continue Friday. Tennessee can’t afford the mistakes they made against Texas A&M if they expect to compete Saturday. It’s in Tennessee which might help their cause but at the end of the day, Bama will be too much. Jalen Hurd is expected to play so that may help, but since Bama doesn’t let anyone run against him, he’ll likely be limited.

Alabama 37
Tennessee 17

North Carolina VS Miami (16)
2 teams coming off tough defeats. North Carolina lost 34-3 to Virginia Tech and Miami lost by 1 on a blocked PAT against Florida State. Both will likely be looking to bounce back in a big way! Brad Kaaya who injured his shoulder against FSU is expected to be back and even though UNC is a tough matchup, I think Miami’s running game and defense will be too much for Florida State.

Miami 31
North Carolina 20

Ole Miss (12) VS Arkansas (22)
This is a huge game for Ole Miss if they want to continue to keep their SEC West hopes alive. They can’t afford a loss and going into this game with Arkansas they have all the motivation they need. Arkansas has beaten Ole Miss the last 2 years, including a shutout in 2014 and a miraculous win last year converting a 4th and 25 in overtime. This game may feature the 2 best quarterbacks in the SEC so I wouldn’t be surprised if this game is a shootout. Basically it comes down to which defense do I trust more? The answer is easily Ole Miss.

Ole Miss 41
Arkansas 31

Ohio State (2) VS Wisconsin (8)
Primetime matchup on Saturday night in Camp Randall. Should be a great game, at least for a half. As I mentioned before, Wisconsin is really good on defense and really bad on offense. Ohio State will have the best player on the field in JT Barrett and I think he will be able to overcome a tough road crowd and make enough plays for his team to get the win.

Ohio State 27
Wisconsin 13

Stanford VS Notre Dame
2 teams who come in struggling and not knowing what to make of their seasons. Both came in and some people predicted they would be in the playoff but now, there are major questions about each program. Brian Kelly of Notre Dame continues to call his players out each week which is an extremely weak move, so he deserves another loss if you ask me. Stanford just can’t get it going and the quarterback issues are one of the reasons why, not to mention the defense has lost the physicality that made them so good lately. Deshaun Kizer should be able to make some plays against this defense.

Notre Dame 27

Stanford 21

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